Alpha Draft Detail

USD Funding Stress as Equity Vol Trigger

Saved Alpha Factory candidate. This is where a paper stops being decorative research furniture and starts becoming a buildable object, assuming it survives contact with reality.

promotedStrategyFX / Rates / Volatility / Equities7/2/2026, 2:20:00 AM
Intake

Source Object

Object Type

manual

Object ID

manual:v33-test

Title

USD Funding Stress as Equity Vol Trigger

Source

manual

Year

N/A

Venue

N/A

Citations

N/A

Tags

manual / funding / volatility / liquidity

Candidate

Strategy Object Candidate

Status

raw

Object Type

Strategy

Asset Class

FX / Rates / Volatility / Equities

Required Data

DXY / Cross-currency basis / SOFR / repo proxy / VIX term structure

Signal Inputs

Funding spread / Dollar impulse / Vol term structure / Equity drawdown

Regime Fit

Funding stress regime / Liquidity-fracture regime

Route Targets

rag_basis / codex_card / backtest_hook / zalpha_monitor / archive

Evidence Sources

manual:v33-test

Mechanism

Market Force

Dollar funding pressure tightens liquidity, raises hedging demand, and can transmit into equity volatility.

Hypothesis

Testable Claim

A funding-stress monitor can warn before equity volatility reprices.

Entry

Entry Logic

Watch vol upside when funding stress rises faster than equity narrative adjustment.

Exit

Exit Logic

Exit when funding stress normalizes or vol repricing completes.

Risk

Risk Rules

Avoid signal use during data gaps or policy shock reversals.

Failure

Failure Modes

  • Policy backstop
  • False funding spike
  • Crowded vol hedge
Current Statuspromoted

Promoted drafts are locked from normal status changes. The card now owns the live object.

Open Factory
Open Promoted CardBacktest / Monitor Route